2025 Valspar Championship: Preview, plugs and best bets

14 Mar 2025; Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, USA; Justin Thomas strikes from the ninth tee during the second round of Players Championship Golf Tournament at TPC Sawgrass. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Swinger-Imagn images

PGA Tour’s Florida Swing rolls on with the Valspar championship, which will be out on Thursday at Innsbrook Resort in Palm Harbor.

Although it lacks the event status for Bay Hill or TPC Sawgrass for the past two weeks, InneSbrooks Copperhead is among the favorite peaks for several players. With a field emphasized by Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas, our golf experts break down the tournament and share their favorite Prop elevation together with the best bets to win this week.

Valspar Championship

Location: Palm Harbor, Fla., March 20-23

Course: Innisbrook Resort, Copperhead Course (par 71, 7 352 meters)

Bag: $ 8.7 million (winners: $ 1,566 million)

Defending Master: Peter Malnati

FedExcup Leader: Mcilroy

How to follow

TV: Thursday-Friday: 14-16 et (Golf Channel/NBC Sports app); Saturday Sounday: 13-3 PM (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), at. 15.00 (NBC/Peacock)

Streaming (ESPN+): Thursday-Friday: 7:30 to 18:00 et; Saturday-Sunday: 19:45 to 18:00

X: @valsparchamp

Propval

-Sam Burns to beat Xander Schauffele (+110 at Draftkings): None of the players come in particularly good form, but at least twice the winner Burns plays a track that he has had a huge success in the past-he missed the cut here last year.

-Corey Conner Top 20 Finish (+120 at FäntriS): This is a strong potential payout for a player who has a couple of top-10s in a signature event and players for the past two weeks.

2025 Prop Pick Record: 11-17-1

Best bets

-Tommy Fleetwood (+1100 Draftkings) has finished T22 or better in 14 consecutive world-wide starts when he is still looking for his first Stroke game in the United States.

-Xander Schauffele (+1200) called the condition in his game “Gross” when he has scraped to a T40 and a 70th first two starts back from a rib injury, but shot one last round 65 here in 2024 and is the highest ranked player in the field on No. 3.

-Sapp Straka (+1600) has been as consistently competitive as anyone to start in 2025, with last week’s T14 that adds a victory on Amex and a T5 on Bay Hill.

-Justin Thomas (+2000) has three top-10s in his last six events starts, and he has said that Copperhead is among his favorite courses on tour. He has not won since the PGA Championship 2022. He is third in the book with five percent of the money supporting Thomas to break his winless drought this week.

-Sam Burns (+2200) has a top-20 result in seven starts this year and missed the average on the players, but he has won this event twice.

-Michael Kim (+3000) is already making her 10th start of the season. Fatigue is a problem, with a missed cut last week after five consecutive top-13s.

-Corey Conners (+3500) is a twice winner on the tour that has quietly finished Solo Third and T6 in Marquee events for the past two weeks. He leads the field with 16 percent of the money and five percent of all bets on Draftkings -Backing Conners to claim his third tour victory this week.

-Lucas Glover (+6000) comes from a T3 on the players when he makes his 20th start in this event.

Notes

-The field includes 18 of the 50 best players in the official world golfing, including eight of the top 25.

-The ninth hole will play from No. 11-tee this year to put length in the hole and to get bunkers into play.

-Malnati tries to join Paul Casey (2018-19) and Sam Burns (2021-22) as the third player to successfully defend a Valskspar title in the last seven editions of the event.

-Neal Shipley, the low amateur at last year’s champion, is in the field on a sponsorship exemption. He is united by Luke Clenton, who received an exception by winning the Valspar Collegiate Invitational 2024 before serving his membership in the PGA Tour through the university. He is entitled to accept membership when he became a professional at the end of his junior season in Florida State. Blades Brown, 17, will make his fourth start of the season. He tied for the 34th at the Mexico Open in his lonely made clips this year.

-Vijay Singh set the tournament record on 266 2004, while Padraig Harrington set the 18-hole record on 61 in the first round in 2012.

-Field level media

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