Certainly felt like Déjà VU yesterday and unexpectedly fell in the latter round of the first over/during the bet before demanding a victory at a miracle in the nightclub. It has happened two days in a row, but today only one total gives money.
At Kauffman Stadium tonight, Colorado Rockies and Kansas City Royals will start their interleague three game set. There is an enticing pitching match in the opener of the series, with Ryan Feltner who takes on Kris Bubic.
The story of Bubic is interesting. He debuted during the 60 match Covid season and made respectable results as a beginner, pitching for a 4.32 era for 10 starts while registering almost one strike per frame (49 cs in 50 rounds).
Bubic’s performance next couple of seasons gradually lost, but he began to show signs that finally exploited his talents in the 2023 campaign with three promising excursions. Unfortunately, it was previously drafted for the first round then injured and demanded Tommy John operation and cost him more than a full calendar year.
Late last season is when Bubic was to return-as a Reliever and 27-year-old performed very well in his limited innings, etched a 2.67 era, 1.02 Whip and an eye-opening strike frequency of 11.6 k/9 in 27 performances.
Fortunately, the decision was made to get Bubic’s return to the rotation, which he also served with a very encouraging spring training-so encouraging, in fact that the left-hander was personally one of my three best sleepers who went into the season.
Bubic has delivered well so far for those of us who noticed him as a breakout candidate. Yes, there have only been four starts, but it seems he picked up where he left a year ago and fine -tuned a 1.88 era. In addition, Bubic limits opposite strokes to a only .217 average and still maintains a healthy strike frequency (10.1 k/9). Both brands are much better than he has ever lost before as a start.
In his quest to keep it going, Bubic gets an easy opponent tonight. Normally it is not a term that would be applied to rockies, but it is the condition of Denver baseball today. They are third from the bottom of baseball in points (68) and near the bottom of the team batting average (.218), base percent (.289) and sluggish percentage (.350).
Colorado also fights against left -wing pitching. They not only hit .215 from Southpaws, but they have also punched 65 times 186 bats with a left on the litter-it is a speed of more than once every third ABS!
Surprisingly, royals are also on a tough start at the plate. KC is bound for the smallest points (67) in the league and its collective .210 Slag average is ranked third.
Do we have a starting jug on the rubber that can hold them down? I think we do.
Feltner is undoubtedly the best jug in Rockie’s rotation and established itself last year with a 4.49 over 30 starter-incumbent on a prominent 3.00 era in 10 assignments after all-Star Break. His 1.15 whip through this stretch was also impressive.
Please note that the former Ohio State Buckeye threw the ball much better on the road compared to hitters-friendly COORS field. In 15 road excursions, Feltner designed a 3.93 era and generally kept a blow to control by providing a .234/.306/.375 slash. Bettors should feel okay to support him from Colorado.
I really hoped that this game would draw a total of 9. If this was the beginning of the season, it would probably have, but given Bubic’s emergence, he is starting to get more respect now from the odds. Anyway, at 8.5 am I’m still on it.
Choose: Under 8.5 (-122, Fanduel)
2025 MLB Betting Record: 16-14-1, -0.69 device
Over/below: 14-10-1
Props: 2-3
MLS: 0-1
Yesterday’s results: Reds-Marlins under 8 (“loss”), breweries below 8 (win)
Each bet rated as if it would win a unit unless otherwise stated.
Follow me on (formerly Twitter) @Mattzylbert For potential additional choices.
